PA - Global Macro

PA - Global Macro

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The Return of Structural Inflation?
Why the market underestimates the emergence of a structurally different inflation regime
May 12 • Paper Alfa
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The Model Guide
Oct 31, 2023 • Paper Alfa
On Technical Analysis ...
Aug 6, 2023 • Paper Alfa
Risk Markers
Mar 5, 2024 • Paper Alfa
Paper Alfa's 2024
Dec 26, 2023 • Paper Alfa

Recent posts

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Attack the Week (ATW)
Bubble-Talk is Cheap / Weekly Calendar / Dashboard Scan / Asset Allocation Model Update
May 11 • Paper Alfa
Friday Thoughts
Notes from the Road / Week in Review
May 8 • Paper Alfa
Macro FX Trade Corner
3 Trade Ideas
May 7 • Paper Alfa
Macro FX Trade Corner
One New Trade
May 5 • Paper Alfa
Attack the Week (ATW)
Macro Thoughts / Weekly Calendar / Dashboard Summary / Allocation Update
May 3 • Paper Alfa
Friday Thoughts
Are Equities the Dominant trade? / +13% YTD / Central Bank Meeting Implications
May 1 • Paper Alfa
Top posts
The Model Guide
Oct 31, 2023 • Paper Alfa
On Technical Analysis ...
Aug 6, 2023 • Paper Alfa
Risk Markers
Mar 5, 2024 • Paper Alfa
Paper Alfa's 2024
Dec 26, 2023 • Paper Alfa
Cross-Currency Basis
Nov 6, 2023 • Paper Alfa

Charts

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Friday Thoughts
Are Equities the Dominant trade? / +13% YTD / Central Bank Meeting Implications
May 1 • Paper Alfa
Friday Thoughts
Boring Non-Equilibrium / Warsh Signals / Market Observations / New Dashboard Feature
Apr 24 • Paper Alfa
Dashboard / Charts & Signal Update
What Comes Next?
Apr 18 • Paper Alfa
Macro Dashboard Update
Epic Equity Squeeze / Global Macro Dashboard
Apr 14 • Paper Alfa

Thought Pieces

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The Return of Structural Inflation?
Why the market underestimates the emergence of a structurally different inflation regime
May 12 • Paper Alfa
Friday Thoughts
Notes from the Road / Week in Review
May 8 • Paper Alfa
Macro FX Trade Corner
3 Trade Ideas
May 7 • Paper Alfa
Macro FX Trade Corner
One New Trade
May 5 • Paper Alfa

Education

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Macro FX - Trade Corner Update
7 New Trades lined up
Apr 27 • Paper Alfa
All Gates, All Barbarians
When Opportunity and Danger Become Indistinguishable
Apr 15 • Paper Alfa
Macro FX Trade Corner
April 2026
Apr 1 • Paper Alfa
All Gates, All Barbarians
Power, Arrogance, and the End of Europe’s Illusions
Mar 16 • Paper Alfa

PAMB

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Macro Book
Portfolio Construction
Apr 30, 2024 • Paper Alfa
Macrobook
Risk: Risk Units & Fixed Income Sizing
Feb 14, 2024 • Paper Alfa
Macrobook
Risk: Position Sizing / Game Simulations / Kelly Criterion
Jan 23, 2024 • Paper Alfa
Macro Book
Risk: Measuring Risk
Jan 10, 2024 • Paper Alfa
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