February Review
Two months are in the bag. Much of my experiment of a “Dry January” has also moved into the last month as the benefits of a drier habit continue to reap its rewards. Alcohol-free beers help. Great taste - no alcohol.
The added energy also helped me to produce 20 posts in a short month. It's a great cadence if I can say so myself.
We started the month with the inaugural Macroscope series, where I will be synthesising global economic trends and market dynamics into a no-nonsense and actionable format. Edition 1 presented a liquidity cycle and a subsequent strategy which identifies markers to time entries and exits in equity markets. The results, analysed over 50 years, are very encouraging, beating the S&P 500 handsomely with double the Sharpe Ratio. I hope you enjoyed that piece.
My piece on whether the risk rally has only started was well-timed as we crossed the 5k mark in the S&P 500. The conclusion was that, given my analysis of the market structure, we would still see a very supportive picture for equity markets going forward.
“Inflation redux” was a post aimed at untangling the market path following surprisingly strong US inflation numbers. It analysed an IMF paper which studied 100 inflationary episodes in the past. I would urge you to read it as it could potentially derail the current market narrative.
February also saw me opening up my models to users through TradingView. I have programmed the momentum & reversal models into usable scripts, which users with access can apply to any security they want to test it against. Happy days, and thank you to all patiently waiting to be granted access. Much appreciated. If you are interested, please get in touch.
Ideas for new articles are packed as we move into March. I am very excited to see what else can be accomplished this month. Admittedly, I have been slacking on the educational side, and I will make sure to correct that.
A uuuuge thank you, as always, goes to my very supportive subscribers. I have been welcoming more of you amazing souls into our pack last month and long may it continue.
If you like what you read and hopefully convert it into returns, I would be ever so grateful if you could continue recommending this place to others. I am not the loudest out there; I am certainly not the one shouting and boasting every time something goes according to plan. I don’t need to. A good product sells itself. And that’s the right way. Those of you who have been around for a long enough time know of the value this place provides.
I am writing as I speak. No nonsense or bullshit attached to it. This won’t change.
Strength & Honour
