PA - Global Macro

PA - Global Macro

Macro FX Trade Corner

3 Trade Ideas

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Paper Alfa
May 07, 2026
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Currencies are no longer trading on economics alone. Across Asia, Europe and the United States, political intent, central-bank signalling and leadership transitions are beginning to matter just as much as inflation prints or rate expectations. In this edition of Trade Corner, Macro D examines three high-conviction FX positions built around that shift.

Behind these trades is a broader thesis: markets may be underestimating how quickly political pressure and central-bank credibility can reshape capital flows. The implications could extend far beyond these individual currency pairs.

Let’s explore.

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